NOTE: THIS IS AN UNOFFICIAL FANSITE.

Neither the author nor the host of this blog is affiliated in any way with The Price is Right, FremantleMedia North America, CBS Television, or any of the products or services mentioned herein.

The views and opinions expressed are entirely those of the author, and do not reflect those of Google, CBS, FremantleMedia, Drew Carey, or indeed any other known human being.

Wednesday, July 20, 2011

Update: The Season 39 "Lost Episodes"

According to the official show blog at priceisright.com, we now have an airdate schedule for the two make-good airings of episodes that were pre-empted for CBS News coverage.  We also now know the airdate for the Back-to-School special.

Episode #5623K (Back-to-School Special):
Friday, 19 August 2011

Episode #5521K (Intended for 11 April 2011):
Friday, 26 August 2011

Episode #5442K (Intended for 15 February 2011):
Wednesday, 31 August 2011

There will be recaps for these episodes, posted when appropriate.-

Stay tuned...

Friday, July 8, 2011

Season 40 Update: Punch-a-Bunch

Word going around from the early tapings for Season 40 is that we can finally expect a new slip distribution scheme for Punch-a-Bunch.

Before you get your hopes too high, however... it's not that much of an improvement. Based on accounts from those who were there, the new distribution looks something like this:

1 $25,000 2 $10,000
4 $5,000 8 $2,500 10 $1,000
10 $500 10 $250 5 $100

At this stage, it's unknown if there will still be Second Chances under this new scheme.  (UPDATE: Apparently, the Second Chances are gone.)

This is definitely a step in the right direction, but frankly it's one the show should've made at least a decade ago. And it still doesn't change the fact the odds of winning Punchy outright (by finding the $25,000 slip) haven't changed one iota; they're still 1:50. For this reason I'm not changing my fudge rule for this game -- I will still consider Punch-a-Bunch won if either the $10K or $25K slips are found (and claimed, in the case of the $10K ones). This actually improves the odds of a Punchy win for my bookkeeping from 1:25 to 1:16.667. And you'll note that there's now a straight-up 50% chance of winning at least $1,000 off the new board, so that at least is much improved over the old (which had a whopping 80% chance of paying off $500 or less).

Baby steps, perhaps. But considering the slip distribution has gone effectively unchanged since the Carter Administration, with the sole exception of changing one of the $10,000 slips to a $25,000 one in 2008, any forward progress is to be welcomed.

Further Season 40 updates as we get them...

Monday, July 4, 2011

Final Stats for Season 39


STATS: Season 39
(Excludes two episodes unaired due to pre-emption)
W-L Record
390-732
(.348)
Total Winnings
$12,694,807
(Avg. $67,887/day)
Double Showcase Winners
10
Double Overbids
11
Perfect Shows
0
Winless Shows
15
First Four Leftovers
102
Perfect Bids
36
Spin-Offs
44
Bonus Spins
104
Bonus Spin Payoffs
$10,000
10
$25,000
6
Most Won
Contestant
$101,244
(Judy, 24 Dec)
Total
$141,975
(24 Dec)
Least Won
Contestant
$457
(James, 6 Oct late)
Total
$7,311
(10 Nov)
Model Appearances
Manuela Abrealez
120
Lanisha Cole
44
Tiffany Coyne #
5
Amber Lancaster
80
Gwendolyn Osbourne
97
Rachel Reynolds
177

Left the show during Season 39.
# On loan from Let's Make a Deal.

STATS: Season 38 by Comparison
(Parentheses denote change in Season 39)
W-L Record
415-725
(.364; ▼.016)
Total Winnings
$11,965,651 (▲$729,156)
(Avg. $62,977/day; ▲$5,110)
Double Showcase Winners
3 (▲7)
Double Overbids
12 (▼1)
Perfect Shows
1 (▼1)
Winless Shows
14 (▲1)
Perfect Bids
28 (▲8)
Spin-Offs
42 (▲2)
Bonus Spins
85 (▲19)
Bonus Spin Payoffs
$10,000
12 (▼2)
$25,000
4 (▲2)
Most Won
Contestant
$87,259 (▲$13,985)
(Brandi, 11 Nov 2009)
Total
$121,484 (▲$20,491)
(25 Nov 2009)
Least Won
Contestant
$408 (▲$49)
(Jason, 19 Nov 2009)
Total
$8,539 (▼$1,228)
(24 May 2010)
Model Appearances
Manuela Abrealez
118 (▲2)
Lanisha Cole
127 (▼83)
Amber Lancaster
77 (▲1)
Gwendolyn Osbourne
86 (▲9)
Rachel Reynolds
165 (▲10)



PRICING GAMES
Game
Plays
Win
Loss
Any Number
.517
29
15
14
Balance Game
.571
14
8
6
Bonkers!
.294
17
5
12
Bonus Game
.500
10
5
5
Bullseye
.727
11
8
3
Card Game
.333
6
2
4
Check-Out
.636
11
7
4
Cliff Hangers [1]
.542
24
13
11
Clock Game
.455
11
5
6
Coming or Going
.455
22
10
12
Cover Up
.276
29
8
21
Danger Price
.154
13
2
11
Dice Game
.333
15
5
10
Double Prices
.419
31
13
18
Eazy Az 1-2-3
.400
15
6
9
Five Price Tags
.222
9
2
7
Flip Flop
.233
30
7
23
Freeze Frame
.100
30
3
27
Gas Money
.077
13
1
12
Golden Road
.000
4
0
4
Grand Game
.111
18
2
16
Grocery Game
.308
13
4
9
½ Off
.235
17
4
13
Hi-Lo
.385
13
5
8
Hole in One (or Two)
.667
6
4
2
It's In the Bag
.000
19
0
19
Let 'em Roll
.286
14
4
10
Line em Up
.444
9
4
5
Lucky $even
.200
35
7
28
Magic #
.200
5
1
4
Make Your Move
.300
10
3
7
Master Key
.571
7
4
3
Money Game
.375
32
12
20
More or Less
.091
11
1
10
Most Expen$ive
.417
36
15
21
Now....or Then
.692
13
9
4
One Away
.273
11
3
8
1 Right Price
.345
29
10
19
One Wrong Price
.433
30
13
17
Pass the Buck
.083
12
1
11
Pathfinder
.091
11
1
10
Pay the Rent [2]
.000
12
0
12
Pick-a-Number
.292
24
7
17
Pick-a-Pair
.714
14
10
4
Plinko
.423
26
11
15
Pocket ¢hange
.333
12
4
8
Punch-a-Bunch
.050
20
1
19
Push Over
.294
34
10
24
Race Game [3,4]
.500
10
5
5
Range Game
.444
27
12
15
Rat Race
.400
15
6
9
Safe Crackers
.500
8
4
4
Secret "X"
.538
13
7
6
Shell Game
.800
5
4
1
Shopping Spree
.667
9
6
3
Side by Side
.600
20
12
8
Spelling Bee
.200
5
1
4
Squeeze Play
.417
36
15
21
Stack the Deck
.182
11
2
9
Step Up [5]
.200
5
1
4
Swap Meet
.375
8
3
5
Switch?
.583
36
21
15
Switcheroo
.000
7
0
7
Take Two
.571
7
4
3
Temptation
.000
7
0
7
10 Chances
.143
7
1
6
That's Too Much!
.147
34
5
29
3 Strikes
.750
4
3
1
Triple Play
.000
3
0
3
2 for the Price of 1
.375
8
3
5
TOTALS
1122
390
732

[1] Technical win awarded 29 September 2010 due to host error.
[2] Contestant had proper GP arrangement on 11 November 2010, but bailed out.
[3] Technical win awarded 9 March 2011 due to prop malfunction.
[4] Technical win awarded 1 June 2011 due to production error.
[5] Technical win awarded 14 December 2010 due to incorrect prize in game.


STATS: Pricing Games
Most Common Game
Most Expen$ive (36)
Squeeze Play (36)
Switch? (36)
Least Common Game
Triple Play (3)
Most Wins
Switch? (21)
Fewest Wins
(nonzero)
Gas Money (1)
Magic # (1)
More or Less (1)
Pass the Buck (1)
Pathfinder (1)
Punch-a-Bunch (1)
Spelling Bee (1)
Step Up (1)
10 Chances (1)
Most Losses
That's Too Much! (29)
Fewest Losses
Shell Game (1)
3 Strikes (1)
Best Win Percentage
3 Strikes
(3-1; .750)
Worst Win Percentage
(Won at least once)
Punch-a-Bunch
(1-19; .050)
Lossless Games
No games with zero losses in Season 39.
Winless Games
Golden Road (4 tries)
It's In the Bag (19 tries)
Pay the Rent (12 tries)
Switcheroo (7 tries)
Temptation (7 tries)
Triple Play (3 tries)
New Games
Pay the Rent (19 Sep)
Retired Games
No games were retired in Season 39.
Games on Hiatus
Check Game
Credit Card

Analysis:
As far as statistics are concerned, Season 39 will go down in the annals as the Year of the Double Showcase Win.  A staggering total of ten DSWs eclipses the previous high-water mark of eight (established in Season 34), and has helped the show more than make up the difference in amount won as opposed to games won.

Make no mistake; this was a terrible year for Pricing Game wins.  We have six games that were never won to begin with, and even though that list includes the usual suspects (Golden Road and Temptation), we saw a new game debut this season, get a reasonable amount of playings, and yet still come up empty in terms of wins on account of the sheer difficulty of the game itself.  Granted, you don't want to just give a hundred grand away, you want to have the players earn it, but the producers certainly did themselves no favors by frequently setting up Pay the Rent to be even more downright evil than it honestly needed to be.  It's as if you're playing your favorite shooter on the "Insane" difficulty setting, and then someone randomly waves their hands in front of your face while you're trying to play.  For this reason I'm instituting a new fudge rule for Season 40:  Starting next season, I will consider Pay the Rent won if the contestant manages to walk away from the game at the $10,000 level.  (A bailout at a lower level still counts as a loss, as of course will taking that final chance and losing on the $100K level.)  This of course assumes there are no gameplay changes to it during the off-season, or if the game isn't simply retired... which I would hate to see, as it's a nuclear option for a game that honestly isn't that much more unfair than Golden Road or It's In the Bag (and let's face it, those games aren't going anywhere).  I do agree with it being played somewhat more often than the other games in what is now the Big Four, however, since it helps entrench this game and its somewhat non-intuitive gameplay in viewers' minds.

That's Too Much! often gets ripped to shreds by the fandom whenever it rears its ugly head -- and make no mistake, it deserves it most of the time.  However, its reputation as Price's most unfair car game isn't entirely fair.  Granted that it's had the most losses of any Pricing Game this season, but its five wins puts it comfortably ahead of the win-percentage curve; games such as Freeze Frame and Pathfinder have worse win percentages this year, and the bottom of the barrel belongs to Punch-a-Bunch (a dismal .050, which makes Mario Mendoza, he for whom the infamous "line" is named in baseball jargon, look like Ty Cobb).  Suddenly, That's Too Much! doesn't look quite so bad... not that this is gonna win it back many fans, of course, but it's worth noting.

I found it interesting that we had precisely the same number of Bonus Spin payoffs in Season 39 that we had in 38, just distributed differently.  Season 38 featured two more $10,000 winners, but also two fewer $25,000 winners.  Synchronicity.

As a sign of the times, we had no games this season with a perfect record for the second straight year.  Also for the second straight year, there are eight games with an 0-fer in the W column, though to be fair one of those games last year was the debuting Rat Race, which was played only the one time in Season 38.  Oddly enough, 3 Strikes went from being an 0-fer in Season 38 to being Season 39's win-percentage champion (.750)!  And this from a game that traditionally is won only on rare occasions even relative to its own scarcity.

So, there you have it.  Season 39 saw a lot of frustration and agony, but there were also some hopeful signs in other areas.  It does say something that Price managed to set both a new single-season winnings record and a new five-season low (at least) for a Pricing Game W-L record.  It's impossible to say which way Season 40 will unfold seeing as it'll be the better part of three months before we see the season premiere on our screens, but if it continues to develop the way things have been... all I can say is, strap in for a bumpy ride.

TPiRecap: 4 July 2011 (4th of July & Season Finale Edition)

First off, Happy Independence Day to all Americans reading this! (And if you're not American, hope you're having a good Monday anyway!)

Before we get things rolling here, I have a few housekeeping notes. For the purposes of keeping records, today's episode will count as the final episode of Season 39. After this, my stats will be locked and no further updates will be made. Tomorrow I'll post a final "Year in Review" look at the numbers for the season, along with a comparison to Season 38 to find out just how we actually did in comparison. And yes, there are still two episodes being held in escrow for summer make-good airings, as well as a potential Back-to-School special in mid-August. I'll probably recap the special at least, but I'm uncertain about the make-goods, as they will likely air without prior warning on CBS.com. Whether I do or not, however, those figures will not be counted towards the Season 39 totals; in other words, I'll treat them the way primetime specials are treated, as their own entity separate from the canonical daytime series (even though they are daytime episodes).

So with that, let's set the master detonator switch to the ON position to kick off the fireworks, and celebrate the 4th of July the Price is Right way!

Episode #: 5622K
Airdate: 4 July 2011
VTR: 2 June 2011
First Four: Tomika, Jeffrey, Jennifer, Cody (R-L)
Today's Models: Amber Lancaster, Gwendolyn Osbourne, Rachel Reynolds (Adrianna Papell)

1. Pentax K-r digital SLR 12.1MP camera
Cody
Jennifer
Jeffrey
Tomika
975
737
600
700


$850





Well, if we're going out today, we're going out with our big guns firing - time to take our last walk down the Golden Road in Season 39, and hope it works out better than it has been the last... oh who am I kidding, the last few years since we last saw a winner:
  1. Apple iPod Shuffle, Nano, Classic (mini-turntable!)
  2. Pair of Honda CRF-100 offroad motorcycles
  3. 2011 Chevrolet Corvette Grand Sport coupe 3LT (6.2L 430HP, 6PST, GS Heritage pkg, Bose audio, nav, paint/fabric prot, PYRO!; over $67,000)

Some kind of apple-cobbler yogurt: 62¢

iPods

3
7


6
2
¢

6
3
7
WIN


Motorcycles
5

9
8

...Anyone else with a sinking feeling right now, or is it just me?

6
3
7


5
3
9
8
GLUB GLUB GLUB

Unfortunately, we can't say this was unexpected. Putting that pair of bikes (a fairly common prize as-is) in this situation is just begging for trouble, Big Four game or not.

Oh well, let's try to put this past us and move on...

2. 14oz stainless steel popcorn cart
Cody
JoAnn
Jeffrey
Tomika
901
750
500
900
$2,414







1 Right Price: $3,800
  1. Samsung 55" LED HDTV w/Internet functions
  2. Ty Pennington for Howard Miller Frances leather sofa

HDTV
Sofa

$3,800
$3,800
$2,817
FIZZLED OUT

After so many TVs this season have ended in a -00 price, this probably shouldn't have been lost by an attentive viewer. We're not exactly off to a stellar start here...


3. Tiki bar set
Micah
JoAnn
Jeffrey
Tomika
950
1600
2300
1200
ALL OVER
775
780
620
1


$927





Grocery Game:
Trip to Maui, HI (6n, Kā'anapali Beach Hotel, kayaking/hiking combo tour; $6,958)

Today's Theme:
And there was much rejoicing.
  





(ahem...)

  • Bullseye barbecue sauce
  • Foster Farms Honey BBQ glazed wings
  • Lay's barbecue potato chips
  • Knorr's Rice Sides Baby Back BBQ flavored rice
  • David Bar-B-Q sunflower seeds

Purchase
ARP
Sub Total
Total
Remaining
4 potato chips
$3.99
15.96
15.96
$4.04-$5.04
1 sauce
$2.29
02.29
18.25
$1.75-$2.75
1 seeds
$1.39
01.39
19.64
36¢-$1.36
1 rice
$1.89
01.89
21.53

OVER

I can't get too upset; I thought the sunflower seeds would be more in line with the rice's price, and vice versa. Still, this isn't going too well.

(CC1: Barbasol Pure Silk)

Showcase Showdown #1:

JoAnn
65
.65

$927

Jennifer
100
1.00
$1,000 Bonus

Cody
55
15
.70

$2,414
Bonus Spin
55


Cue card fun as we go to break.

(Same Name, or "The Name's the Same Re-Imagined as a Reality Show." Somewhere, Robert Q. Lewis just epically facepalmed... Premieres July 24th, Only CBS.)

Okay, let's see if we can turn this ship away from the iceberg now. For a change.

4. Hatteras Roman arc hammock
(Five-taking announcer not included)
Micah
Rebecca
Jeffrey
Tomika
375
450
600
850




$811



Side by Side gives us our first Pricing Game of the day that doesn't date back to the half-hour era:
Great Lakes GL4 hot tub w/surround

SIDE
75
SIDE

62


62



SIDE
0
SIDE
75
62
75
75
62

CUE THE SOUSA!

Well, guess we won't be needing these anymore... [puts a few dozen industrial-size cans of tomato juice up on eBay] ;^)



5. Apple iPad 2 (16GB) 3G w/cover
Micah
Rebecca
Kelsy
Tomika
800
1
650
700




$668



Lucky $even:
2011 Chevrolet Cruise LS (1.8L, StabiliTrak, compact spare tire, paint/fabric prot)

1
>
>
>
>
$7

6
1
7
>
>
>
-$1
$6
4
1
7
6
>
>
-$2
$4
3
1
7
6
8
>
-$5
-$1
DUD
($17,689)

Just when things were starting to look up, too. Meh.

Tomika's in danger of becoming the F4 Buzzards' main barbecue item (and the season's last official F4) if she's not careful.

6. Ocean Kayak Scrambler 11 kayak w/accessories
Micah
Rebecca
Reggie
Tomika
1500
1251
1200
850
ALL OVER
700
751
695
750
$749







Micah represnts our last chance in Season 39 to put a tick in the W column. Standing in her way is Plinko, so all she has to do is put it in the $10K slot just once:

11" serrated watermelon knife
Cuisinart "frozen dessert" maker
Corn...
uh... de-cobber, I guess you'd call it
American flag serving tray
1
5
5
3
1
8
3
2
WIN!
$25
$
$
WIN!
$50
$
WIN!
$12
3
0


Chip #1
100 R
Chip #2
100 L
Chip #3
100 R
Chip #4
STUCK
" "
-0- L
TOTAL
$300
LOSS

Ugh. Depressing way to end the Pricing Game portion of the year... though it must truthfully be said, not at all a surprising one. I'll have more on this in my stat post tomorrow.

(CC2: Absorbine... also known as the ActivOn that actually works)

Rebecca, Reggie, and Tomika (F4) receive VocoPro karaoke mics and Quoizel table lamps.

Showcase Showdown #2:

Kelsy
35
85
1.20

$668

Micah
20
75
.95
WIN
Jeffrey
10
100
1.10

$8,373


Showcases: Jennifer top winner, Micah runner-up.

1. Come On, If You Can't Guess These Showcase Themes...
  • Trip to Washington, D.C. (6n, Beacon Hotel & Corporate Quarters)
    • Dinner cruise on the Patomac
    • Annual implosion of the Caps Fireworks show
  • Trip to Flagstaff, AZ (3d, Discovery Treks)
    • Guided tour of the Grand Canyon
  • Sea-Doo Speedster 150 15' sportboat w/trailer
Jennifer passes, Micah bids $26,500.
(My bid: $28,042)


2. The Ultimate 4th of July Party
  • Outdoor furniture group
  • Weber Genesis gas barbecue (Plessers.com)
  • 2011 Chevrolet Colorado regular cab (2.9L, AM/FM/CD/XM 3mos)
Jennifer bids $18,500.
(My bid: $23,150)



Moment of Truth:
2: Micah
Trips/Sportboat
1: Jennifer
Truck
$26,500
Bid
$18,500
$28,046
ARP
$22,688
$1,546
Result
$4,188
Micah wins!
$29,182
$2,487
$4 DSW
My Result
$462

LEADER BOARD: Episode #5622K

Micah
$29,182
Jeffrey

$8,373

Jennifer

$2,487

Cody

$2,414

JoAnn

$927

Kelsy

$668
TOTAL WINNINGS
$44,051
(19.74% of $218,137 + $1,000 bonus)

And that's a wrap, folks! Tune in to this blog tomorrow for the year-in-review stats post, and check back through the summer for possible TPiRetros and possibly recaps for the missing shows and/or the Back to School special in August. Other than that, however, that's all she wrote for Season 39 of The Price is Right!

Have a great summer, everyone, and we'll see you back here in September for sure for the start of The Big Four-Oh!